West Bengal (WB) Exit Poll 2016 Political analyst Abhijit Das shortage of TMC in number

National News Channel

West Bengal (WB) Election 2016 Exit Poll

Pollsters TMC Left+ INC BJP Others
Elections.in 125 155 6 8
CVoter 167 120 4 3
India Today-Axis 243 44 4 3
Chanakya 210 70 14
ABP 163 126 1 4
NDTV 184 103 5 2
News Nation 153 181

The West Bengal Assembly elections were held in six phases in 294 constituencies of the state. Almost all opinion polls say that Mamata Banerjee’s Trinamool Congress is coming back to power. Elections.in , however, predicts that the Left Front-Congress alliance may emerge the winner and hold back Mamata.

West Bengal Assembly elections: India TV-CVoter opinion poll predicts victory for TMC

The recently released India TV-CVoter opinion polls for West Bengal elections has indicated that the  Mamata Banerjee-led Trinamool Congress (TMC) will retain power in the state although the Left Front is likely to make a significant gain in vote share. The alliance with the Left is unlikely to help the Congress as the party is expected to bag 21 seats, which is much less than the 106 seats predicted from the CPI (M). The TMC is projected to get 160 seats while the BJP is unlikely to win in more than four seats.

Party/Alliance Seats Projection Vote %
TMC 160 40
CPM+ 106 31
Congress 21 8
BJP 4 11
Others 3 9

West Bengal Opinion Poll by Elections.in

Party/Alliance Seat Projection
TMC 190
Congress +Left Front 100
BJP 2
Others 2

West Bengal Opinion Poll by Zee 24 Ghanta

An opinion poll carried out by GFK Mode on behalf of Zee 24 Ghanta has projected that the Trinamool Congress is likely to get 200 seats in the approaching West Bengal Assembly elections. The Congress-Left alliance, which is tipped to get about 90 seats, will emerge a distant runner-up. The BJP would not be able to replicate its Lok Sabha elections performance and may end up with one seat only. The opinion poll shows that the recent Narada News sting operation has not had a major impact on the voters.

Party/Alliance Forecast Seats as per Opinion Poll in March 2016
TMC 200
Left Front-Congress 90
BJP 1
Others 3

West Bengal Opinion Poll by ABP News – Nielsen

Party Actual seats in the 2011 Elections Forecast vote % as per Opinion Poll Feb 2016 Forecast Seats as per Opinion Poll Feb 2016 Forecast vote % as per Opinion Poll Mar 2016 Forecast Seats as per Opinion Poll Mar 2016
AITC 190 44 182 45 178
BJP 1 6 0 5 1
INC 38 43 107 44 110
Left 57
IND and Others 8 7 5 6 5
Total 294 100 294 100 294

West Bengal Opinion Poll India TV by CVoter

According to the survey conducted by C-voter for India TV, Mamata Banerjee-led TMC is likely to win the West Bengal assembly elections and retain power in the state. According to the report released the TMC is expected to win 156 out of the 294 seats in the assembly. This is decline in vote share as compared to what it had got (184) in 2011. The CPI(M)-led Left front is likely to win 114 seats, which will be 54 seats more than the last elections. The vote share of Congress may fall to 13 from 4.

Party/Alliance Forecast Seats as per
Opinion Poll Mar 2016
TMC 156
Left Front 114
Congress 13
Others (including BJP) 11

Local News Channel

West Bengal Opinion Poll by ETV Bangla

Party/Alliance Forecast Seats as per Opinion Poll Mar 2016
TMC 201
Left Front 34
Congress 27
Others (including BJP) 32

West Bengal Opinion Poll by ABP News

(May – 2015)

Party Forecast Seats as per Opinion Poll May 2015
TMC 198
BJP 12
INC 40
Left Front 36
Others 7

 

Party  Political  analyst Abhijit Das shortage of TMC in numberForecast Seats as per Opinion Poll May 2015
TMC 143
BJP 45
INC 40
Left Front 60
Others 6

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